Top Performing Decklists
| Deck | Creator | Record | Best Finish |
|---|---|---|---|
| Izzet Prowess | gigachadsigmamale | 6-3 | 2nd in MTGO Standard Challenge 32 #12774495 |
Performance Stats (Last 14 Days)
Win Rate Impact
Top Table Win Rate
Meta Trend
Sample Size
Tournament Results
Average Copies
Archetypes Using This Card:
Azorius Omniscience , Dimir Control , Izzet Prowess , Jeskai Control , Jeskai Oculus , Mono Blue Tempo , Simic Terror
Meta Performance Analysis
Flare of Denial ranks #2505 out of approximately 5129 cards in raw efficiency (top 49%).
Game Impact Factor
Color Differential
Blue average: 50.3%
Performance compared to other Blue cardsBased on our comprehensive multi-metric analysis, Flare of Denial is a decent card with average performance in the current meta.
Recommended number of copies: 1
Win Rate Timeline
Card Efficiency Analysis
Raw Efficiency (Win Rate/Mana)
Relative Efficiency
Performance Efficiency: 7.56 (Win rate × Top 8 rate ÷ Mana value)
At 3 mana, the average win rate in the format is 47.5%. Flare of Denial has a win rate of 63.5%, making it 33.8% better than other 3-mana cards.
Top Performing Partners
| Card Name | Type | Deck Count | Win Rate | 1st Places |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stern Scolding | Instant | 5 | 66.7% | 1 |
| Blood Moon | Enchantment | 5 | 63.3% | 1 |
| Consign to Memory | Instant | 7 | 58.9% | 1 |
| Galvanic Discharge | Instant | 5 | 56.9% | 0 |
| Pact of Negation | Instant | 5 | 56.2% | 1 |
| Preordain | Sorcery | 9 | 56.0% | 1 |
| Counterspell | Instant | 9 | 56.0% | 1 |
| Spell Pierce | Instant | 7 | 56.0% | 1 |
| Lightning Bolt | Instant | 8 | 55.7% | 1 |
| Expressive Iteration | Sorcery | 5 | 53.3% | 1 |
Card Synergy Analysis
Cards that perform better with Flare of Denial than they do on average. A positive synergy score indicates stronger performance together.
| Card Name | Type | Mana | Decks | Win Rate Together | Win Rate Apart | Synergy Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spell Pierce | Instant | 1 | 5 | 70.8% | 59.6% | +11.2% |
| Expressive Iteration | Sorcery | 2 | 5 | 68.2% | 60.0% | +8.2% |
| Counterspell | Instant | 2 | 7 | 67.6% | 59.7% | +7.9% |
| Preordain | Sorcery | 1 | 7 | 67.6% | 60.2% | +7.4% |
| Consign to Memory | Instant | 1 | 6 | 65.6% | 58.4% | +7.3% |
| Galvanic Discharge | Instant | 1 | 6 | 69.2% | 62.2% | +7.0% |
| Lightning Bolt | Instant | 1 | 8 | 66.7% | 59.8% | +6.9% |
| Spell Snare | Instant | 1 | 5 | 65.2% | 60.0% | +5.2% |
| Ponder | Sorcery | 1 | 5 | 63.2% | 59.6% | +3.6% |
| True-Name Nemesis | Creature — Merfolk Rogue | 3 | 5 | 63.2% | 59.7% | +3.5% |
Top Archetypes
| Archetype | Deck Count | % of Archetype | Win Rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Izzet Prowess | 7 | 0.7% | 63.1% |
| Jeskai Control | 3 | 0.9% | 33.3% |
| Azorius Omniscience | 2 | 0.3% | 62.5% |
| 1 | 1.6% | 75.0% | |
| Dimir Control | 1 | 1.1% | 0.0% |
Statistics Explanation
| Statistic | Description | Formula |
|---|---|---|
| Win Rate Impact | How much this card increases or decreases the win rate of decks that include it, compared to the average deck in the format. | (Win rate of decks with this card) - (Average win rate of all decks) |
| Top Table Win Rate | A weighted win rate that gives more significance to performance in higher tournament placements. First place finishes count for 2x, with diminishing weight down to 8th place. | ∑(wins × placement_weight) / ∑((wins + losses) × placement_weight) |
| Meta Trend | Shows if the card is performing better or worse in the most recent period compared to earlier periods. Positive values indicate improving performance. | (Win rate in recent half of time period) - (Win rate in earlier half of time period) |
| Confidence Factor | A measure of statistical reliability based on sample size. The progress bar indicates how confident we are in the statistics (with larger sample sizes providing higher confidence). | log10(Number of decks + 1) |
| Average Copies | The average number of copies of this card included in decks that use it. | ∑(Copies in each deck) / (Number of decks) |
| Card Synergy Score | Measures how well this card performs with other cards compared to their individual performance. | (Win rate together) - (Average of individual win rates) |
| Raw Efficiency | Win rate points per mana invested. Higher values indicate better returns on mana investment. | (Win rate) / (Mana value) |
| Relative Efficiency | How efficient this card is compared to the average card of the same mana value. | ((Win rate) / (Format average win rate for same mana)) / (Mana value) |
| Performance Efficiency | Combined metric that accounts for win rate, tournament success, and mana investment. | (Win rate × Top 8 placement rate) / (Mana value) |
| Game Impact Factor | A measure of how much this card affects game outcomes, based on win rate adjusted by its deviation from the format average. | Win rate × (1 + (Win rate - Format average) / 100) |
| Color Differential | How this card's win rate compares to the average win rate of other cards of the same color. | Win rate - Average win rate for same color |
All statistics are calculated using tournament data from the selected time period. Sample sizes below 10 decks may not provide statistically significant results.